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Royale
Expands into the Gulf Coast
Record U.S. Natural
Gas Consumption, EIA says
Heat Wave
Natural Gas Demand in 1999
may Set 27 year Record
Natural Gas Rises to
4-Month High on Utility Buying
Natural Gas Rises to Five-Month
High on Sign of Lower Supplies
Royale in the News: Commodity
Stock Poised for a Rebound
New California and
Gulf Coast 2D/3D Project
Industry Update
Technical Personnel
Expansion
Shareholder Communication
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Royale
Expands into the Gulf Coast
The focus of our 1999 development will continue to be in California,
however, Royale Energy will be expanding into new areas to increase
the number of prospects, as well as, the quality and size of the
prospects. After a thorough evaluation, we believe the U.S. Gulf
Coast provides an outstanding opportunity to add significant natural
gas production and reserves. Many operators have reduced their exploration
budgets due to lower oil prices, causing them to look for outside
partners to help fund prospects. These are high quality prospects
that have already been defined by good seismic data and other wells
drilled in the area. Royale's recent success in Louisiana's Four
Isle Dome field is the first well in this expansion effort.
Additional prospects have been identified by our technical department.
These areas have nearby pipelines and infrastructure in place that
reduces the overall cost of completing a productive well.
Daniel Yergin, chairman of Cambridge Energy Associates and
author of the Pulitzer award winning book THE PRIZE, said
in a recent Oil & Gas Journal article, that "despite
the downturn, the outlook is good for the U.S. Gulf of Mexico."
Yergin said cuts in exploration and a decline in the shallow Gulf
of Mexico output will force a significant decline in gas productive
capacity this year and next that will force an upswing in natural
gas prices sooner rather than later. "This kind of decline
is taking place at a time when this country is making a greater
bet for natural gas as a source for the electric power industry,"
Yergin said.
We feel expanding into the Gulf Coast region will be an exciting
and rewarding diversification of the company's drilling portfolio.
Four Isle Dome Field;
Louisiana Land & Exploration State Unit B #3 (LL&E);
Terrebone Parish, LA In Gulf Coast.
Date: April 1999; Depth +/-14,000'
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Record
U.S. Natural Gas Consumption Seen in '99, EIA Says
U.S. natural gas consumption will reach a record in 1999, exceeding
the 22.1 trillion cubic used in 1972, as utilities burn more gas
to generate electricity, the U.S. Energy Information Administration
said. The agency, which is part of the U.S. Department of
Energy, gave no specific estimate of 1999 consumption.
"Natural gas has become the fuel of choice for most new and planned
electric generating units, as new gas-fired generating technologies
offer lower initial costs, higher efficiencies and less adverse
environmental effects compared to generation from other fossil fuels,''
the EIA said.
U.S. natural gas consumption will grow by 50 percent between 1998
and 2020, EIA predicted. Since 1994, U.S. electric utilities increased
the use of natural gas by 22 percent, according to the agency.
The forecast and background
are part of an EIA report, "Natural Gas 1998: Issues and Trends."
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HEAT WAVE |
Share of newly built single-family
homes heated with natural gas vs. electricity since 1986
|
| YEAR |
NATURAL
GAS |
ELECTRICITY |
| 1986 |
47% |
44% |
| 1987 |
52% |
40% |
| 1988 |
54% |
37% |
| 1989 |
58% |
34% |
| 1990 |
59% |
33% |
| 1991 |
60% |
32% |
| 1992 |
65% |
29% |
| 1993 |
66% |
29% |
| 1994 |
67% |
29% |
| 1995 |
67% |
28% |
| 1996 |
69% |
26% |
| 1997 |
69% |
26% |
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Natural
Gas Demand in 1999 May Set 27-year Record
For 1999, we're forecasting overall domestic natural gas demand
growth of 5.6%, or 3.3 billion cubic feet per day. On an annualized
basis, this translates into an increase in consumption of 1.22 trillion
cubic feet, to 23.03 Tcf. This would be a new record for U.S.
gas demand - exceeding 1972's level of 22.10 Tcf," says Michael
Barbis, executive director and natural gas analyst for Warburg Dillon
Read LLC in New York.
Half of Barbis' 1999 gas-demand-growth outlook is driven by an
expectation of normal winter weather. The other half is driven
by an expected increase in new gas-fired electricity generation
plants, increased penetration by gas into the commercial and residential
markets, and an increase in gas-burning equipment.
How will their demand growth be met? "We expect inventories
of gas in storage to meet much of the increase in demand during
the winter heating season," Barbis says. "In fact, we believe
we'll go into the winter of 1998-1999 with as much as 175 Bcf more
in storage more than we normally do. Thus, relative to the
winter of 1997-1998, storage should contribute an incremental 389
Bcf to supply."
With two pipeline expansions expected to come onstream by late
1998, Canada should also be well place to meet some of the 1999
gas-demand increase.
"We expect the 700-MMcf-per-day expansion/extension of the Northern
Border pipeline and the 358-MMcf-per-day expansion of the TransCanada
Pipeline to run at about a 70% utilization rate, providing some
740 MMcf of gas per day, or 270 Bcf annually, of Canadian gas to
the U.S. market.
"However, this 70% utilization estimate could be high, since we're
not convinced that Canadian producers will be capable of filling
this new capacity."
What this means is, U.S. production will have to meet more than
half of the expected 1999 increase in domestic gas demand, says
Barbis. "We believe this will be a major challenge.
Most of the traditional domestic gas producing areas are in decline,
while more remote producing regions are experiencing volume increases
only because of one-time expansions in pipeline capacity."
Concludes Barbis, "Given our view that both U.S. Production and
Canadian imports will be hard pressed to meet increased 1999 gas
demand, the domestic supply-demand balance will be quite tight.
We estimate 1999 gas prices will average $2.20 per Mcf at Henry
Hub."
----- Brian A. Toal
Source: Oil
and Gas Investor, News Well, December 1999/Volume 18/Number 12
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Natural Gas Rises to 4-Month High on Utility Buying
Natural gas rose more than 1 percent to a 4-month high as utilities
and marketers continues to lock in supplies at prices that traders
said probably will be the lowest they'll see for the rest
of the year.
Source: Internet;
Bloomberg Energy: Energy News; April 15, 1999
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Natural
Gas Rises to Five-Month High on Sign of Lower Supplies
Natural gas rose about 1 percent to a five-month high on expectation
that late-season utility demand and less available production is
helping to ease a surplus caused by a mild winter.
While inventories are rising as utilities stock up for next winter,
they're growing slowly because of warm weather in parts of the South,
where gas is used to generate electricity, and colder weather in
the East and Midwest, where it heats homes. "Supplies are
short, and we just keep chiseling away at the surplus" compared
with year-ago levels, said Tom Pena senior energy analyst at ED&F
Man in New York. "There's just less gas on the market than in the
past" because low prices discouraged production and development
of new well, he said.
After the close of trading, the American Gas association said
U.S. inventories grew less than expected in the week ended April
23. Supplies in storage rose 5 billion cubic feet to 1.375
trillion cubic feet, well short of the increase of 29 billion expected
by analysts.
Inventories still are 15 percent larger than a year ago, though
that's down from a 20 percent gap the previous week.
In the past month, inventories have risen 39 billion cubic feet.
During the same four weeks last year, inventories rose 193 billion
cubic feet.
Demand from utility customers has slowed the rise in inventories,
analysts said. Also, shutdowns of nuclear power plants, such
as Energy Corp.'s River Bend reactor in Louisiana, will force some
utilities to burn moiré gas in backup generators, analysts
said.
If prices rise above $2.515, they could surge into the $2 range
within a couple of days, Pena said. "If you go rolling through
there I think you'll see a panic of buyers in the market," he said.
Source: Internet;
Bloomberg Energy: Energy News; April 28, 1999
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Listed below are stocks from key commodity industries (oil, gas,
agriculture, steel, and mining) that trade for $25 or less and scored
well in The Low Price Stock Survey's proprietary rating system.
Among more than 400 commodity-related stocks graded, the stocks
below ranked in the top 8% for overall score. The numbers
bellow are percentile ranks. Royale Energy, Inc. for example
scores better than 98% of the 400 companies for quality.
| |
Quality |
Value |
MOMENTUM |
FINANCIAL STRENGTH |
OVERALL SCORE |
| ROYALE ENERGY |
98 |
60 |
72 |
85 |
94 |
Source: Stock
Watch, Richard J. Moroney, CFA, Editor, VP; April 12, 1999
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The Freeport Channel Prospect is located in Sacramento
County, California. The proposed well will be drilled to approximately
6000 feet to test the Cretaceous Winters channel sands. This
well will test a potential pinchout of the main Winters channel
sands, which is updip to a well drilled by Chevron. The Winters
channel sands are well documented by local well control and have
a unique seismic signature that can be mapped on 2D data.
The seismic data shows that the channel can be found 400 feet structurally
higher than the Chevron well at the Winters horizon. The Chevron
well produced over 2 billion cubic feet of gas (BCFG) from the upper
Winter channel sands that is a secondary target in this prospect.
Estimated gas reserves for this prospect range from 3 to 7 billion
cubic feet of gas (BCFG). This is the same trap type and play
concept that was successfully tested by Royale's Blossom #1 well.
The Bowerbank #15 is located in Kern County, California,
in the Southern San Joaquin Basin. The proposed well will
be drilled to 5,100 feet and has up to nine potential Pliocene sand
target zones. The structure being drilled is an elongated
dome on the larger plunging structural nose upon which the Bowerbank
gas field is located. The 2D seismic data and local
well control define the trap. Royale has now drilled and completed
14 wells in Bowerbank gas field area using similar data and has
had an outstanding success rate of 80%. The main pay target
in the well is the 4th Sub-Mulinia Sand which has a most likely
resource potential of 2.5 billion cubic feet of gas (BCFG).
The upside potential of this well is high (6-8 BCFG) because of
the large number of potential sand objectives at this location.
The Grand River Prospect is located in Iberville Parish,
Louisiana, approximately 20 miles south of Baton Rouge. The
proposed well will be drilled to approximately 12,000 feet to test
the Oligocene Camerina and Lower Templet sands. The prospect
is an updip development well located in the Grand River field (water
drive reservoirs) which has produced 2.0 million barrels of oil
(MMBO) and 5.75 billion cubic feet of gas (BCFG). Reservoir
data, subsurface information, and high quality 3D data, were all
used to map the updip portion of the field which has yet to have
been produced. A well penetrating shallower sands in the same
structural position in the field produced over 1.1 million barrels
of oil (MMBO). Most likely resources for this well are 900,000
barrels of oil (BO) and 2.7 billion cubic feet of gas (BCFG) with
an upside potential of up to 1.5 million barrels of oil (MMBO) and
9.7 billion cubic feet of gas (BCFG).
U.S. Gulf Coast Prospect. The company is evaluating
and selecting high quality offshore prospects. All of the
prospects are in known prolific producing trends with reservoir
targets with proven high flow capabilities and, are either adjacent
to or within known fields. All have been mapped with excellent
quality 3D seismic data for the first time, providing relatively
high potential resource objectives at low to moderate risk.
To be designated.
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Florida Gas Transmission Co., a join venture of Enron Corp. and
Sonat Inc., asked federal regulators to approve a $350 million expansion
of its 5,000-mile natural-gas pipeline system to meet growing demand
for the fuel in Florida.
The expansion will increase the amount of gas the pipeline can
carry each day by 272 million cubic feet, to 1.77 billion cubic
feet. Florida Gas told the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
that it wants to construct 205 miles of pipeline and add 48,570
horsepower of compression to force more gas through the pipe.
Florida Gas moves gas from the Texas coast to Florida, where it's
used by utilities and industrial customers. The expansion
will extend the pipeline system into southwestern Florida.
Source: Internet;
Bloomberg Energy: Energy New; December 2, 1998
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Technical Personnel Expansion
Royale Energy has recruited Bennett Z. Spevack to assume the position
of Chief Explorationist. Bennett comes with almost 20 years of successful
exploration experience at Amoco Production Company. For the past
10 years, as Exploration Manager, Spevack has directed exploration
programs in California, the Gulf of Mexico, Alaska, and internationally.
These efforts led to a number of commercial discoveries. Before
that he acted as a Geophysical Interpreter. Bennett brings an extensive
knowledge of state-of-the-art seismic technology, such as, 3D AVO,
pre-stack depth migration, and seismic attribute analysis, as well
as, the practical applicability of this technology to successful
oil and gas exploration. Spevack holds an MA in geology from
State University of New York in Binghamton, NY. The company
is looking forward to his eagerness to contribute to making Royale
Energy's future exploration efforts and production programs a success.
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SHAREHOLDERS COMMUNICATION
"If we had it to do all over again, we never would have," said
Skip Nordstrom in his December 1998 issue of Growth Stock Newsletter
while referring to taking out Royale Energy, Inc. from its portfolio.
"Back in March of 1996, we featured Royale Energy Inc. (NASDAQ:
ROYL) as our 'Pick of the Litter',
and we were right on the target as to the growth potential of the
company. I'm not exactly sure why we took it out of the portfolio,
but after meeting again with the company management team recently,
I'm putting it back in" said Nordstrom. "There are a
lot of reasons to consider investing a natural gas drilling and
production company, especially Royale Energy, not the least of which
is the short term as well as the long term growth." As a consequence,
Royale has been placed back in the Growth Stock Portfolio in the
December 1998 issue of the newsletter. In May 1999 issue,
Skip Nordstrom had commented on Royale's latest well discoveries
and 1998 earnings. He referred to Royale's successful completion
of its first attempt at exploring for natural gas in the Gulf Coast
as "the icing on this cake." Nordstrom concluded: "I
am glad that I put this company back in the portfolio!"
| Company
(Symbol) |
Date
Selected |
Price
Then |
Price
5/12/99 |
%
|
| Royale Energy (ROYL) |
Dec. '98 |
$3.12 |
$3.75 |
+20% |
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